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06-07-2013, 08:02 AM
(This post was last modified: 06-07-2013, 08:02 AM by Ariel.)
empirefantasy Has been murdered at the night
he was a Bodyguard
Day phase BEGIN!
cop , doc , townie(SonicBoom) , townie(Ossie) , townie(TheHari) , townie , Doublevoter(Kevin) , Bodyguard(empirefantasy) , godfather , Pikachu(Dr. Time) , goon , serial(LutiChris).
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06-07-2013, 09:35 AM
(This post was last modified: 06-07-2013, 09:37 AM by Kevin.)
Who are the alive players again?
blabla
ramond
betit
tlgm
qwertz
We need to kill the godfather =.= , but if we kill any wrong person, we're doomed.
If we kill the goon, that means we have 2 players in our team in the next day - everyone reveals their identity. If the GF pretends to be the doc, for example, we can just kill both docs in the next two days. Same if he pretends to be townie, we kill both. Victory is ours :P .
If the cop can't find out the goon, and we don't reveal our identities, there are two choices:
1. Only the cop should reveal himself, so that we will at least not vote on him. Therefore, we will have 50% chance to kill one of the mafia, which, if we do, go to Win Situation. (TLDR: 50% win)
2. No one reveal their identities: 40% to kill someone from the mafia (and then win situation). 20% chance to kill the doc (and then definite loss). 20% chance to kill the townie and we can only win if the mafia targets the cop and the doc defends him (less than 50% chance of winning, too lazy to count). 20% chance to kill the cop and same case as if we kill the townie, except we can't identify the goon. (TLDR: Less than 50% chance to win).
Well, based on my thoughts above, if the cop knows who's goon, we will win 100%. Otherwise, we should put our bet on the first choice (50% win).
Hope I didn't miss any possibilities ^.^ .
TLDR ^ 2:
So if I am correct, today's vote is the key. Therefore, the cop must reveal himself and show us all his finding which may help us in today's vote. If goon is unknown, everyone must reveal themselves to improve the chance to vote for the Mafia members to 50%.
TEMPE
zort: wna try something else with 2 templates? like 4 firzens
me: ooo Hmm...
zort: I do
me: 4 firzens O_O
zort: let's try :P
me: let's try ;p
20 minutes later
zort: so is it possible?
me: OMG it is possible O_o
20 minutes later:
zort: that's it man
zort: we beat lf2
me: lol
zort: nothing else to do
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no need to explain
vote for Ramond
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Then you're Mafia as well. Gotcha both!
03:28 [BluePhoenix] sleep is for weakling.
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sorry ramond, this is were it ends for you. Voting for ramond
[sig placeholder until my new sig is finished]
should totally allow people to be all trolley on their birthday
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