05-17-2011, 11:11 PM
(This post was last modified: 05-17-2011, 11:12 PM by Apocalipsis.)
Ok... I guess we will follow this path then:
So after killing Empirefantasy, ratio will be 4:1. If this night the doctor (coughBlowFlycough) saves the right person, we win. Persons he can save are:
-Me (I won't trap anyone's room)
-Divisor
-Marshall
If he doesn't get to save anyone we will be 3:1 in the day round and we will have to choose who is the godfather. If we choose right we kill him and win. If we fail then ratio is 2:1, doctor is dead, and godfather will kill again at night regardless of anything that we can do. Ratio 1:1, we lose.
Accusing Empirefantasy, obviously.
Apocalipsis Wrote:
- If we kill the normal mafia now (chances of winning: 66%):
- 33% chances of healing this night: 1:4, even if we fail and kill the doctor in next day round we still win. 100% chances of winning.
- 66% chances of failing this night: 1:3, then we have to try to get the godfather (50% chances of winning) :
- 50% chances of suceed: We win. 100% chances of winning.
- 50% chances of fail: If we fail: ratios is 1:2, doctor is dead and night kill is secure: 1:1. We lose. 0% chances of winning.
So after killing Empirefantasy, ratio will be 4:1. If this night the doctor (coughBlowFlycough) saves the right person, we win. Persons he can save are:
-Me (I won't trap anyone's room)
-Divisor
-Marshall
If he doesn't get to save anyone we will be 3:1 in the day round and we will have to choose who is the godfather. If we choose right we kill him and win. If we fail then ratio is 2:1, doctor is dead, and godfather will kill again at night regardless of anything that we can do. Ratio 1:1, we lose.
Accusing Empirefantasy, obviously.