01-10-2016, 07:58 AM
I'd like to shed some light on this post:
Nope, as it was proved.
(01-05-2016, 11:22 AM)LutiChris Wrote: Here's some possible scenario's that might play out...It was posted after I said I've received a PM from someone, and BEFORE I posted the fake screenshot which surprised Luti and apparently caused him to change his premises.
1) He got contacted, so in that case...2) No one said anything???
- it could be his mafia teammate, a plan that involves either one of them attracting attention (UNLIKELY as that is too risky and too early at this stage of the game)
- A-Man is innocent and mafia contacted him for fun? the plan could make A-Man reveal the information and make everyone skeptical if he was perceived as a townie victim or just attract more attention to him and see if he gets lynched instead PROBABLE
- Could be the work of a townie i suppose? (seems out of character for one to do that: UNLIKELY)
- I mean, unless its crazy to assume there is some tactical plan to this approach. This begs the question. Why even mention it? mafia plan? PROBABLE
- A-Man is mafia and is going with a risky move by revealing possible information for us? still... its too early in the game for that UNLIKELY
- Townie willing to risk attracting unnecessary attention, for what benefit? UNLIKELY
Having these two probabilities presented side to side is kind of hard to determine unless we look at A-Man's behavior... still its hard to say
these are slightly intuitive on my part but they seem reasonable to conclude, what do you guys think? Am i thinking too much about a farce or do you think this information is something valid?
Quote:1) He got contacted, so in that case...
[*] it could be his mafia teammate, a plan that involves either one of them attracting attention (UNLIKELY as that is too risky and too early at this stage of the game)
Nope, as it was proved.
Quote:[*] A-Man is innocent and mafia contacted him for fun? the plan could make A-Man reveal the information and make everyone skeptical if he was perceived as a townie victim or just attract more attention to him and see if he gets lynched instead PROBABLEhmmmmm
Quote:[*] Could be the work of a townie i suppose? (seems out of character for one to do that: UNLIKELY)True. It's great you agree its out of character.
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