Classic Mafia - Conclusion!

[TheNave]

1. Apocalipsis - AmadisLFE, mfc, AmadisLFE, LutiChris, Bamboori
2. Bamboori - mfc, AmadisLFE, Apocalipsis, LutiChris
3. Darl - mfc, AmadisLFE, Bamboori, LutiChris
4. empirefantasy - mfc, Bamboori, LutiChris
5. Jernemies - LutiChris, Apocalipsis
6. Ramond - Rhino.Freak, LutiCrhis, TheNave, LutiChris, Apocalipsis, Bamboori

Okay, after calming down I went through the thread again and made a list of all the votes so far (for the players that are still alive)

Let's analyze it and see which pair of players never voted for eachother:
Apocalipsis - Darl
Apocalipsis - empirefantasy
Bamboori - Jernemies
Darl - empirefantasy
Darl - Jernemies
Darl - Ramond
empirefantasy - Jernemies
empirefantasy - Ramond
Jernemies - Ramond

Now those are all the possible pairs regarding the votes... let's narrow it down a bit...
In my opinion empirefantasy is innocent. He did miss multiple nightphases, I always checked the last visit timers as soon as a Day phase begins, you can belive me on this one or not but in my eyes I consider it impossible for him to have a role that requires night activity... so let's remove all the pairs with empirefantasy's name

Apocalipsis - Darl
Apocalipsis - empirefantasy
Bamboori - Jernemies
Darl - empirefantasy
Darl - Jernemies
Darl - Ramond
empirefantasy - Jernemies
empirefantasy - Ramond
Jernemies - Ramond

now what we have left is the following list of possible mafia pairs:
Apocalipsis - Darl
Bamboori - Jernemies
Darl - Jernemies
Darl - Ramond
Jernemies - Ramond

Now let's see the possible partners for each of those players:
Apocalipsis - Darl
Bamboori - Jernemies
Jernemies - Bamboori, Darl, Ramond
Ramond - Darl, Jernemies
Darl - Apocalipsis, Jernemies, Ramond


Now as you can see, Darl and Jernemies have the most possible partners, which is expected because Darl was checked by the Cop and rarely voted on from that point in the game and Jernemies was mostly lurking and didn't interact alot at all...

Now, IF we were to kill Darl or Jernemies, the list would change depending on the outcome:


Let's assume Darl was mafia:

Then that would mean the last remaining mafia must be Apocalipsis, Jernemies or Ramond... Bamboori must be citizen then


Let's assume Darl was citizen:

That means all the pairs with darl would be removed from the list:
Apocalipsis - Darl
Bamboori - Jernemies
Jernemies - Bamboori, Darl, Ramond
Ramond - Darl, Jernemies
Darl - Apocalipsis, Jernemies, Ramond

which would leave us with two last possible pairs:
Bamboori and Jernemies
OR
Ramond and Jernemies


Let's assume Jernemies was mafia:

Then that would mean the last remaining mafia must be Bamboori, Darl or Ramond... Apocalipsis must be citizen then


Let's assume Jernemies was citizen:

That means all the pairs with Jernemies would be removed from the list:
Apocalipsis - Darl
Bamboori - Jernemies
Jernemies - Bamboori, Darl, Ramond
Ramond - Darl, Jernemies
Darl - Apocalipsis, Jernemies, Ramond

which would leave us with two last possible pairs:
Apocalipsis - Darl
OR
Ramond - Darl


Now the three strategies we can follow are:
1. Kill Darl, his death would reveal alot
2. Kill Jernemies, his death would reveal equally much
3. Go for one of the possible partners (Bamboori, Apoc, Rmond) aka pretty much Random Vote


Now, for me the choice is obvious, either Darl or Jernemies, and Darl did get checked by Rhino so if I have to decide between those two I'd obviously go for Jernemies


@LutiChris
hey look I'm actually following your advice even though I came up with this stuff myself... but yes now I do agree Jernemies - Bamboori is a valid pair

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Additonal reasons to vote for Jernemies:
1. He did NOT vote for mfc
2. He did NOT die this night! There was no suspicion on Jernemies AND he's not active at all, this is usually the most likely kind of player mafia is going for IF he was citizen, obviously mafia cannot go for Jernemies if he's Mafia and thus went for Simoneon


Also, here's a TL;DR:

Jernemies = Godfather -> We got a mafia member + Apocalipsis is confirmed citizen + Darl is confirmed citizen
Jernemies = Mafia Goon -> We got a mafia member + Apocalipsis is confirmed citizen
Jernemies = Citizen -> Darl confirmed Godfather + Remaining Mafia must be either Apocalipsis or Ramond